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Comments
-Main problematic comms: Iron, gold
Iron is in very short supply. Because of people trying to max out their forging ability/skill/mastery.
Gold is -always- a problem. In the time I've been MoT, I've never had the amount of gold we set as the goal. Not that it is used in both forging and enchantments, it's pretty impossible to get.
-Secondary problems: Leather, Lacquer, Wood
Gold and leather - both because there are so few places to get them and they are used in forging and enchanting. After a comm run, I regularly have fewer than 100 of these to add to my rift. I do 3-4 comm runs a day.
Lacquer - it's always in short supply because forgers perceive it is the cheapest way to his Master.
-Minor problems: Cloth, Ice, Steel.
Ice was a problem during the Extermination Wars and Steel can be a problem if a forger decides to make a run for Mastery.
Cyrene has plenty of steel and ice for the moment. We sell a good deal during the year, but because we have aides awake at all times of the day, we get good deals on it. If there is steel or ice over 50 in the shop and the price is at or under our buy price, we buy it down to 50.
Numbers and trends
Steel and gold have always been in short supply. Steel is a bit less now because there's no reason to sit and forge for days to get fabulous stats, but that bonus was tempered by getting only 10% back when smelting.
I don't know if numbers are what you want, @Sarapis but here are Cyrene's numbers right now. These are shown in percentages of the maximum amount we have sold in a year, times two.
I'm not sure what I've said improves on what everyone above has said, but thought I should weigh in at least.
Thanks for looking into this.
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Of course, @Sarapis or @Tecton could have made adjustments to the restock rate since I last checked, but based on the scarcity of iron, I somewhat doubt that.
It pretty well conforms to what most people perceive.
Regarding Lacquer that is a bit of an oddity since it is only used for forging as far as I am aware and you can only get it on Meropis and Zanzi. It is used in pretty much 90-95% (not logged in to get an exact count but it will be close to this) of all the Virtuoso and Master Blacksmith descriptors since the majority of these are colours. So every forger who considers going for grandmaster or legendary is going to need it in large quantities.
Ice is an odd one too and I hear complaints about it a lot.